Great post! One of the best I’ve read on the scamdemic. Thanks especial for the risk/reward discussion and the due diligence tips. Most Americans don’t “get” the risk/reward concept for medical interventions. It’s all “magic goodness.” Secondly, most don’t have any inkling of the failings, tricks, and errors of the “expertocracy.” Once you “see” risk/reward and the intentionally wrong advice of the experts , you can’t unsee them... and there goes your trust. I know from experience that’s a painful, foundation shattering awakening. I’m afraid most folks don’t want to go there as they intuitively know the vertigo that awaits.
Grant understood me correctly. IFR is a [relatively!] easily-measured proxy for infection severity. You are also right that death is not the only downside of Covid, and I have never claimed that it was. But aggregating all the other downsides of Covid is an impossibility, so it is necessary that we use a metric that both has some real world meaning and is feasible to measure. The young, especially in the healthier-than-average military population, almost never have a hard time with SCV2. And the 3 per 100,000 among the 20-29 year olds who do have some good reason for it. I suspect that the low double digit deaths the DoD attributes to Covid were service members who either had a coincidental infection while dying of something else or their PCR was a false positive. False positive PCRs are something we hardly discuss. They can be caused by the amplification of viral debris left over from a previously cleared recent infection (up to 60 days) or they can even be caused by non-specific binding of the primer to a nucleotide sequence similar to the target sequence. It is necessary to confirm that the PCR amplicon actually corresponds to a known nucleotide sequence of the virus. This last step is almost never done.
My second bout of frankenvirus was a little rough. Fevers, chills, baaad body aches, cough. Needed ivermectin for that; started IVM on symptom day 3 and was 95% resolved in 18 hrs. No 30 year old would have had my experience.
"Given the IFR in ages under 29, prophylactic interventions simply couldn’t reduce the risk of death.¹ If there is no benefit, then the risk-benefit calculation becomes meaningless as we’re left to determine the overall risk of the treatment in question, which is all downside." This assumes that death is the only downside of Covid. Clearly, that is not the case. The military will consider not just mortality risk but the downtime of days or weeks from a symptomatic infection.
Try not to fall too hard into despair and the moment will come. You and the nation don’t have time for too much grief when the mask drops... the truth ain’t 💩.
This morning a girl from USAA was nice on the phone, I thanked her, she said “you (military) people are the only thing keeping America going.” Off the cuff.
THINK ABOUT THAT.
(Hey, no pressure 🤣)
Being decent AIN’T ENOUGH.
We have to get them through this. So .... it ain’t enough to be right.
Great post! One of the best I’ve read on the scamdemic. Thanks especial for the risk/reward discussion and the due diligence tips. Most Americans don’t “get” the risk/reward concept for medical interventions. It’s all “magic goodness.” Secondly, most don’t have any inkling of the failings, tricks, and errors of the “expertocracy.” Once you “see” risk/reward and the intentionally wrong advice of the experts , you can’t unsee them... and there goes your trust. I know from experience that’s a painful, foundation shattering awakening. I’m afraid most folks don’t want to go there as they intuitively know the vertigo that awaits.
Grant understood me correctly. IFR is a [relatively!] easily-measured proxy for infection severity. You are also right that death is not the only downside of Covid, and I have never claimed that it was. But aggregating all the other downsides of Covid is an impossibility, so it is necessary that we use a metric that both has some real world meaning and is feasible to measure. The young, especially in the healthier-than-average military population, almost never have a hard time with SCV2. And the 3 per 100,000 among the 20-29 year olds who do have some good reason for it. I suspect that the low double digit deaths the DoD attributes to Covid were service members who either had a coincidental infection while dying of something else or their PCR was a false positive. False positive PCRs are something we hardly discuss. They can be caused by the amplification of viral debris left over from a previously cleared recent infection (up to 60 days) or they can even be caused by non-specific binding of the primer to a nucleotide sequence similar to the target sequence. It is necessary to confirm that the PCR amplicon actually corresponds to a known nucleotide sequence of the virus. This last step is almost never done.
My second bout of frankenvirus was a little rough. Fevers, chills, baaad body aches, cough. Needed ivermectin for that; started IVM on symptom day 3 and was 95% resolved in 18 hrs. No 30 year old would have had my experience.
Had Chris not retired, I wonder if the Capt Crozier of the Roosevelt would have kept his job?
"Given the IFR in ages under 29, prophylactic interventions simply couldn’t reduce the risk of death.¹ If there is no benefit, then the risk-benefit calculation becomes meaningless as we’re left to determine the overall risk of the treatment in question, which is all downside." This assumes that death is the only downside of Covid. Clearly, that is not the case. The military will consider not just mortality risk but the downtime of days or weeks from a symptomatic infection.
East Of Eden... starring...
look, you’re decent men.
This isn’t a decent time.
Try not to fall too hard into despair and the moment will come. You and the nation don’t have time for too much grief when the mask drops... the truth ain’t 💩.
This morning a girl from USAA was nice on the phone, I thanked her, she said “you (military) people are the only thing keeping America going.” Off the cuff.
THINK ABOUT THAT.
(Hey, no pressure 🤣)
Being decent AIN’T ENOUGH.
We have to get them through this. So .... it ain’t enough to be right.
Good luck, me be around.